Eric's financial copilot

The Financial Copilot.

An agent that hunts the whole market on a schedule, must name its edge before it's allowed to recommend anything, and keeps score on itself. This page is how it works.

01 · The Hunt

It doesn't wait for ideas. It goes looking.

Earnings-forecast revisions, insider buying, institutional positioning, short interest and the actual text of SEC filings — read across every listed US stock, every week. Before it looks at a single name it reads the tape, and one of the four postures it can take is cash is the position. Survivors face the hard gate: the agent must name the edge.

6,757 listed US stocks 929 143 54 44 3 and some weeks: zero
Stage 1 · five lenses

Five questions, asked in parallel.

One screen can only find one kind of opportunity. This runs five over the same universe — and every candidate carries the lens that found it, all the way to the end.

What it catches: a business whose earnings forecasts are rising faster than its share price. It gets cheaper while going up, so it appears on no bargain list anywhere.
Stage 2 · triage

Name the edge, or pass.

Not a score. Not a rank. A specific, sayable reason this is mispriced — and no reason means no survival. It also reads what the system concluded in prior weeks, so it can't quietly re-litigate a call it already made.

What it catches: the 786 names that looked interesting on a screen and had nothing behind them.
Stage 3 · quick evaluation

Judged by the lens that found it.

A compounder is not graded like a falling knife. Four outcomes — and one of them is I can't tell yet, which sends the name out for more data instead of to the bin.

Since Oct 11 its verdict is advice, not a gate. In 8 of 8 hunts, the names it turned down beat the names it kept over the next 20 sessions, so every name it sees now goes on to the critic.

What it catches: the difference between a bad idea and a thin write-up. Missing information is a stated verdict here, never a silent gap.
Stage 4 · the critic

A fresh reader tries to kill it.

Thirty-four standing questions, asked by something that did not write the thesis. Every idea must state the single best argument against itself before it can pass.

What it catches: eight "independent" ideas that are one bet wearing eight tickers.
Stage 5 · full evaluation

Fifteen sections. Primary sources.

Reads the actual 10-Q. Pulls exact tagged figures straight out of SEC filings. States plainly what it could not find.

What it catches: the things no data feed sells — segment margins, debt maturity schedules, retention rates, backlog. Zero obligation to trade any of them.
Stage 1, up close

Price tells you a stock moved. It never tells you why.

Cross price direction with what analysts are doing to their earnings forecasts and four situations separate out — four situations that look identical on a chart.

Price falling
Price rising
Estimates rising
Disagreement
Analysts and the tape hold opposite views. One is wrong, usually inside a quarter.
candidate
Confirmed strength
Forecasts rising faster than the price. The multiple compresses while the stock climbs.
candidate
Estimates falling
No floor
The drawdown isn't a discount. The numbers are falling with it.
disqualifier
Quiet deterioration
Forecasts coming down while the price holds up. The market hasn't noticed.
exit signal
Confirmed strength is not a momentum trade.

Momentum buys the price move. This buys the gap between the price move and the earnings move — the stock is climbing and getting cheaper at the same time.

Quiet deterioration is the one that costs money.

Analysts are cutting their forecasts and the share price hasn't moved yet. Nothing looks wrong on the chart, so nobody sells — and the repricing happens all at once, later. If you already own it, this is the signal to get out.

Some weeks nothing meets the criteria.

It reports either way. Every research product gets paid whether or not there is anything worth buying, so every research product finds something. This one reports what it found and what it rejected — and when nothing clears the bar that week, it says so. That is a finding, not a blank page.

runs unattended · sunday 11:00 AM PT · output is a file the agent reads, not a tip
02 · The Mirror

It writes down what it rejected.

700+

verdicts logged — passes, kills, and the not-yet-sures. Each carries the lens that found it and the reason it gave, so next week's hunt has to say what changed before it's allowed to disagree.

verdict log · one entry
lens      CONFIRMED_STRENGTH
verdict   DEEPEN
thesis    estimates rising faster than the multiple is
          expanding — the only name in the batch
          where that is true.
Since Oct 10 they're graded: entry at the next open, scored by prices against its sector and the list it came from. Each hunt stage is graded against what it rejected, and a scoreboard rebuilt every weekday says what's proven. Its head line today: measuring is proven; picking is not yet.

Most research shows you its winners. This keeps the losers in the same file.

Follow along.

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selecting at least one list enables the button
Live Output

This Is What It Looks Like Running.

Tail of the agents' status log. Real format, with file paths and anything personal removed.

[06:05] Research · morning briefing → COMPLETE
status log · one weekday
[04:30:01] feeds · insider filings → pulled
[04:31:03] feeds · SEC filings → pulled
[04:32:06] feeds · macro calendar → pulled
[04:33:04] feeds · institutional holdings → pulled (QUIET)
[04:34:03] feeds · congressional trades → pulled
 
Research | 06:05 PT | morning briefing | COMPLETE
Watchlist: 3 names in entry range
Macro: calendar clear through week
 
Research | 06:35 PT | market-open check | COMPLETE
1 watchlist name hit entry zone → surfaced for approval
 
Marketing | 07:00 PT | news scan | COMPLETE
Items routed to research, each labeled: what it touches, new or not, how sourced
 
Chief of staff | 07:30 PT | summary | SENT
Telegram: "1 approval needed.
Focus today: the watchlist."
 
Chief of staff | 07:40 PT | theme check | COMPLETE
Strongest theme → who gets paid → ranked names, or nothing clears the bar